Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 103.475307 117.518600 132.991117 151.340172 172.554690 196.367438 225.199657
2026-01-11 82.428131 100.567866 122.208691 150.071578 185.198417 228.279340 285.525343
2026-01-18 71.885901 92.310711 118.113062 153.390020 200.811345 262.980939 351.692456
2026-01-25 63.186262 84.489511 112.654604 153.067407 210.303739 289.574731 409.619167
2026-02-01 57.159686 79.132148 109.344800 154.557541 221.598703 319.086758 474.821669
2026-02-08 51.109966 72.883988 103.847149 151.896580 226.048044 338.592609 527.114908
2026-02-15 47.151795 69.108765 101.322573 153.041388 235.920390 366.938076 596.632442
2026-02-22 43.930587 66.030626 99.401717 154.696725 246.484442 397.259860 673.295814
2026-03-01 39.947573 61.368035 94.532118 151.020968 247.741492 412.110074 724.904308
2026-03-08 36.646960 57.453880 90.430012 148.074093 249.706845 428.097736 780.411089
2026-03-15 34.081062 54.480099 87.542692 146.800683 254.288488 448.999706 847.829068
2026-03-22 32.915186 53.691671 88.162973 151.587196 270.130856 492.178362 965.099701
2026-03-29 31.184429 52.002332 87.436798 154.539775 284.184494 536.247163 1097.146292
2026-04-05 28.903814 49.186574 84.534144 153.287155 290.293220 566.167350 1206.108088
2026-04-12 27.555306 47.874220 84.151852 156.687634 305.946929 617.701004 1373.261431
2026-04-19 25.833222 45.718832 81.998313 156.357429 313.870469 654.001535 1512.140729
2026-04-26 24.519255 44.191495 80.857347 157.883323 325.846882 700.905798 1686.566305
2026-05-03 22.824370 41.795472 77.821405 155.158550 328.173582 726.183061 1811.057268
2026-05-10 21.725757 40.448959 76.706199 156.330796 339.347247 773.894482 2005.604347
2026-05-17 20.773690 39.305770 75.884216 158.025848 351.927682 826.986461 2227.194444
2026-05-24 19.357734 37.122301 72.748702 154.261968 351.048351 846.148054 2354.900116
2026-05-31 18.134245 35.235188 70.068961 151.244623 351.600596 869.119113 2499.524050
2026-06-07 17.165240 33.798113 68.217771 149.940812 356.262937 903.796645 2689.158551